December 2005 - Posts

The Moscow Option: An Alternative Second World War by David Downing

Too many counterfactual historians, when addressing World War II, seem to suffer from a sneaking sympathy for the Wehrmacht. Furthermore, it is often accepted at face value that, if Hitler had not directed the thrust of his Panzers twice (towards Kiev in '41, and away from Stalingrad into the Caucasus in the summer of '42) then the Germans would have defeated the Soviets.

Downing falls into neither of these traps. He explicitly refuses to give the Germans those things which would have given them potentialy war-winning advantages: an economy geared for sustained warfare or a political acceptance of liberation in occupied Russia. To do so, he rightly considers, would require fundamental moral and philosophical changes in the nature of the regime that were profoundly at odds with both National Socialist ideology, and with Hitler's personal Weltanschaung.

Downing allows - as the title and cover suggest - for Germany taking Moscow. He also allows the Japanese a decisive triumph at Midway.

The result is a counterfactual book that runs contrary to the trend in this area. Downing is not saying "what could the Axis have done differently that would have allowed them to win?" Instead, he guides us to the conclusion that, given their early decisions, whatever the Axis powers did, they were doomed to fail.

This is not to say that he subscribes to a neo-Marxist analysis of "historical inevitablism". Rather, it is an intriguing exposition of how the logistical, manpower and strategic factors that faced the Axis would eventually have ground them down to an extent that rendered operational-doctrinal advantages irrelevant.

Thoroughly enjoyable on the level of a page-turner, this also provides a range of historically-grounded argument that will interest the military historian without alienating the casual reader.

--------

(I posted this at Amazon, too: it's not plagiarism, it's me..)

Achievement Point Phat Lewt

I continue to delight in my XBox 360.

I don't finish games.  I'm just not that person.  I must have bought.. oh, an awful lot of games in the last two decades.  I have enjoyed a great many of them.  But I've probably only finished (where that is possible) two or three that don't have the word "Civilisation" in them.  As Raph Koster describes, I tend to play, find the key, learn the patterns, grok them, then immediately lose interest in continuing.  And yes, i am aware that to certain girls from my past, that may ring a bell.

But the 360 has a new feature: achievement points.  When you pass certain milestones, which vary from game to game, you get a little "ding", and your XBox Live online profile is updated with extra points to reflect your new uber-leetness.  Games come with about 1000 points for a full-price game, and around 200 for a Live Arcade downloadable game.

So, for example, finish Project Gotham 3 on silver diffiulty and you'll get points (fifty, i think).  Finish a mission-series in Call of Duty 2 on Veteran and you;kk get sixty points.  Win with a backgammon in the Live Arcade version of the game and get ten or fifteen points.  You can see my gamer card here, with (currently) a respectable 1010 points, giving me temporary bragging points over my friends, the nearest of whom has 425.

This means I am metagaming like a true Bartle Achiever.  I have already completed Call of Duty and Project Gotham.  The latter I would have done anyway.  The former?  Unlikely, especially within a couple of weeks.  I am getting to see more now that there is a point to the games beyond just cracking the game's patterns.  Now, like an MMO, there is a point in catassing ;)

Achievement points are also a great selling point.  I look at games to see which have low-hanging fruit in the achievement points (hands up Kameo and EA's Madden 2006).  I will rent games I would never normally play, just to get some more of those sweet, sweet points.

One last thing.  If you are looking for achievement points, shun Tiger Woods 2006 like the devil that it is.  The points are all for online play.  And many are utterly ungettable.  Play 1000 games?  That would be forty or so days solid, 24-hours a day!  Rank number 1 in the world in a game mode for thirty or forty points?!?  This means that, if I play like the devil for, like, ever, and turn out to be the single best player in the world at stroke play, I get less points than for finishing the training mission in Call of Duty 2.  EA, there is a place you can put that, but it won't be pleasant, and you'll deserve a good few achievement points for your discomfort.

Performance Appraisals and other Weaselry

Oh joy: the time of the year when performance reviews and appraisals come round.

I hate this stuff.  I don't hate it through fear: I'm good at what I do, and I've not punched a single person this year*, so I'm pretty sanguine about the process vis-a-vis myself.  Of course, I am aware that, in an attempt to moderate my salary demands, the company will try to come up with some spurious complaint ("You've been eating too much cheese this year, Keith.  Eating excessive cheese is just picking the pocket of the company as a whole").  But, basically, I've launched products that work first time, on budget and on time.  With me, you can have all three.

What I hate is the paperwork, the negotiation, the "justify your existence" stuff, and most of all the third-party, "grass on your mates" review process.

I have worked for an awful lot of companies in my time.  Being a contract-developer does that to you.  And what I have discovered is that, while sales and marketing have bad reputations amongst techies, the only people who actually make your life more miserable as an employee are the human resources lot.  Now my aunt is a personnel director, so I should point out that I have met lovely H.R. people in my time, and worked in companies where they were essentially non-malign.  Some of my best friends, you might say, work in H.R.  But everybody I know shivers with fear when they see a general-circulation memo from Human Resources pop into their inbox.

So now I have to do 3rd party reviews for four people.  The process is rather like a trial for witchcraft.  If I fail to denounce them properly (ie if I am uncritical) then I am not "engaging fully in the review process".  Of course, "engaging fully in the review process" is one of my official targets for the year, and if I fail to do so then my assessment grading - and therefore bonuses - for the year may be lower.  Not least since the people that set up the review process in all its weaselly glory (HR) are the people who decide on the allocation of bonuses.

My solution?  Don't care.  Last year I broke the rules and sent everyone I did reviews for a copy of the document.  "Never say anything about someone you wouldn't say to their face" isn't a bad rule to try and stick to.  Yes, I was told off for it, on the unspoken grounds that this lets them prepare a defence.  See, again, under "don't care".  My colleagues tend to be my friends, and I'm not going to give them any advice they need through the proxy of a vengeful H.R. department.  Those who I work with who I feel deserve to be fired are aware of my opinion and will not ask me to do reviews for them.  I wish they would, though.  I'd even send them a copy.

------------------

*Not in work.  On the rugby pitch, I'm afraid, is a very different matter. 

Gordon Brown saves idiot self from idiot self

Last week, in his pre-budget statement, Gordon Brown averted disaster.  Of course, the disaster he averted was one that would have been entirely of his own making.  He decided that we would not be able to invest money from our private pensions in property, which was in any case an idiotic, middle-class-crowd-pleaser of an idea he came up with a couple of years ago.

In the UK, property is king.  It's a small island with a lot of people and, as the saying goes, the one thing God isn't making any more of is land (though the Dutch are another issue).  Our consitution has traditionally focussed on property rights as the highest good, whose protection is paramount.  For a few hundred years, it gradually developed some ideas about personaly liberty and rights, but Blair has pretty efficiently gutted those out of it.

Why was adding property to personal pensions a bad idea?  It's simple.  At the fragile high-water-mark of a property bubble, people were itching to blow six figure sums into second homes and buy-to-let schemes.  There was no winning scenario here.  If prices rose further, and stayed there, increasing numbers of people would find property unaffordable.  If prices spiked then plummetted, well, your pension just fell by 20% with six years until retirement.  Fancy retiring at 80?

And there was another facet.  A rush to property speculation would have attracted money away from productive sectors of the economy.  All that money is already sitting there, invested in equities, bonds and (a little) cash.  The price of money to industry - a major cost of doing business - would have, until the property crash, risen.

So the net effect would have been a flight of capital from productive to rental sectors of the economy, and very probably a period of house-price inflation followed by a crash in property prices, widespread negative equity, and massive losses to the pensions of those with large funds, i.e. those closer to retirement.

Gordon Brown is an idiot and a thief.  At least this time somebody slapped him awake in time, unlike the last time he postponed everyones' retirement through idiocy and greed.  On balance, though, I'd have to say his father, old Dr Brown from Insch, was a very nice man.

Wired and SWG

Hot on the heels of the New York Times, the real journal of record - umm, Wired - adds to the screaming cacophony in Julio Torres' head.

My favourite line is the Darth-reference on the second page:

"Of the disgruntled players, Torres says he finds their lack of faith disturbing."

 

Narnia and Eustace Scrubb (or the Guardian)

Polly Toynbee, in the Guardian, has written a fairly bitter piece of polemic about The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe, entitled "Narnia represents everything that is most hateful about religion".

There will be no spoilers, because I have not yet seen the film.  I might get that treat tonight.  To many my age and older, this is our Harry Potter: a well-loved series of fantastical childrens' books, still enjoyed by adults, finally reaching the big screen.  But, despite the denials from the apologists, Lewis was actively doing something more than Rowling, who is telling good stories.

I am vaguely disappointed that I cannot find anywhere in Toynbee's piece where she decries the film as neo-Platonist propaganda.  She doesn't, at any point, abhor its syncretist undertones.  Despite her protestations, she has no trouble with an underlying theme in a movie or a book.  Otherwise, she would be reduced to summer action blockbusters, and that would never do for a Guardian writer. She just has trouble with themes that she disagrees with.  Swap the references to Christianity in that piece out, and put in another term, and the piece would never be published.  Nor would the ever-so-PC Toynbee have written it.  Islam?  She knows which targets not to poke too sharply.  Judaism?  Uh-uh.  People of colour?  Hindus?  Atheists?  On the other hand, if an author's proselytizing agrees with her own, it's wagons roll!  So we get "Philip Pullman - he of the marvellously secular trilogy His Dark Materials".  How very value-neutral.  But then this is from the woman (link via Shuggy) who wants me to be taxed more than women because of my propensity towards "crime, violence, car crashes and non-payment of maintenance...regardless of individual qualities".  Liquidate the Kulaks as a Class!

I don't mind that people attack my religious beliefs.  I really don't.  And anyone who does mind, and who gets angry or retaliates doesn't get it.  But I really, really feel sorry for Toynbee.  That's not a debating point..  She reminds me of someone I know who had a terrible relationship with his father, and now goes around picking fights with anyone, no matter how undeserving of his anger - who bears the vaguest resemblance.

In Narnian terms, Toynbee reminds me of one of the dwarves.  Their fate used to concern me more than any other part of The Last Battle.  To a pre-teenager, it seemed that the dwarves, and their refusal to see what was around them, was Lewis attacking the Jews.  I can now see how contrary to Lewis that was.  I cannot help but worry that Ms Toynbee is in that dark stable.

If you want to know how the film, the books or even the author come to that - rate on the fundamentalism scale, take a look at what the fundamentalist end of the spectrum think about it. They hate it.  Lewis' Christianity is complex, subtle, doubting and creative.  And beautiful.  The Bible itself offers no view of heaven, nor of the triviality of death, to rival that of The Last Battle: the literal ecstasis of being allowed to travel further up and further in.

Anyway, I'll almost certainly, for good or ill, write about the film once I've seen it.  I fear Disney and all their works.  But for now, I'm spending my morning pitying Polly.  It's not nearly so much fun, but probably good for the soul.

SWG, NYT and other TLAs

Yet more from Star Wars Galaxies: that version of the 1943 eastern front for MMO developers.

Via Broken Toys and elsewhere, the New York Times is covering the Star Wars: Galaxies "New Game Experience" laugh-a-minute-because-I'm-not-a-subscriber apocalypse.  I was initially surprised, but I suppose that virtual worlds are interesting enough to get into print, especially in the arts section.

It is serious knocking copy.  At first, I thought that it was a freelance piece submitted on spec that had got lucky, but Seth Schiessel has been doing tech pieces for the New York Times for years.  It's well-informed and well-researched, as well as strongly opinionated.  No publicity may be bad publicity, but some publicity can be even worse.  This article won't sell any boxes, that's for sure.

After The Victorians

I've recently finished A.N. Wilson's latest book, "After The Victorians".  What an odd read.  Which is not to say I didn't enjoy it.  But very odd.  By way of precis, the book deals with the British (far more than with Britain herself) from 1901 until 1953, and is a sequel to his previous work, "The Victorians". 

It is history - and popular history at that - but unlike other popular historians like Woods or Beevor, Wilson makes no real attempt to tell the greater story of the times, instead telling a multitude of smaller tales.  At times "After The Victorians" reads more like a collection of sources than any sort of narrative.  Much of the book is made up of telling quotes, poignant vignettes and diverting references to little-known characters.  This lends the book some of its charm, as well as a generous serving of annoyance.

On the positive side, what it does is make the book incredibly atmospheric.  Sometimes, with his choice of stories to tell, Wilson evokes sustained senses of fading grandeur, or of greyness and mundanity.  But sometimes the method is teasing, infuriating or downright confusing.  A paragraph may be - and very often is - a decade out-of order compared to those on either side of it, but there are very, very few of those unfashionable date things to let the reader know.  Relying on the book as an account of these fifty years would lead to a very odd perception of the period.  And Wilson is also surprisingly sympathetic to rather unlikely cases, such as Dr.Crippen (who we learn was no doctor), or the Rector of Stiffkey (clearly mad and probably a little paedophilic).

On balance, I enjoyed the approach.  It harked back to the sort of anecdotal history that existed in the older books we used at primary school, and was full of re-tellable stories and snippets about some of the major players.  Wilson has taken the trouble to produce quotations - usually without comment or gloss - that speak directly to an early 21st century reader.  We see that the British press and government have almost always worried about terrorists and immigrants, usually identifyingone with the other.  Thus, we see Josiah Wedgwood writing to Churchill in 1922:

"It is fatally easy to justify them [i.e. draconian anti-terrorist laws] but they lower the character of a whole nation.  You know as well as I do that human life does not matter a rap in comparison with the death of ideas and the betrayal of English traditions.Rebelling against civilisation and society will go on anyhow and this is only a new form of the disease of '48; so let us have English rule and not Bourbon."

Churchill dominates much of the book, and receives much attention even in his less active periods.  He shares the limelight, surprisingly, with nobody so much as kings and queens, Kaisers and Tsars.  Wilson emphasises their roles greatly.  But this does not save them from the bitchy scandal in which he seems to delight.  He revels in scandal, particularly anything of an oedipal nature, be it about Kaiser Wilhelm or D.H.Lawrence.  He repeats as fact (presumably with justification) fairly shocking rumours about living people - the current Queen and her pet husband being an example - that I would have to research fairly carefully before repeating.  Some of the rumours seem to come as surprising news, even to those with an interest in their targets.

Despite the title, the author cannot tear himself away from focussing on Victorians, rather than men and women of the subsequent age.  Thus, Churchill shares the stage less with Attlee and Eden than with Curzon and Kipling, Nicolson and Wells.  The impression one cannot help but receive is that, as the age of giants ends, that of very little men indeed is bound to follow.

In a period dominated by two immense world conflicts, Wilson seems to have taken a deliberate decision not to be "just another war-century history".  Those areas directly involving the book's hero, Churchill, get a bit of coverage, but otherwise the wars are mentioned fairly en passant, as they relate either to art, to the labour movement, or to Anglo-American relations and the linked topic of Empire.  The latter subjects are seen through the lens of what he sees as the betrayal of Britain by the Americans, and the deliberate bringing-about of the older power's downfall. His arguments here are powerful and well-rehearsed, and probably constitute the closest thing the book has to a central theme.  They are also extremely unlikely to prove popular with the accusation's targets.

While understandable, the apparently deliberate avoidance of focus on the great wars can seem a little obtuse, particularly with regard to the first, which defines the shape of much of the last two-thirds of the period and yet is treated surprisingly cursorily.  Also neglected is any real discussion of the role of Britain in Africa in the first half of the century.  While India is discussed at length, references to the African continent are both rare and fleeting: a mention of South Africa here, a Mau Mau there.  Even South Africa is almost invariably mentioned in relation to Asian themes, be they Ghandi or the Chinese mine-workers.

Finally, I'd have to say that I've never seen an author so often and oddly repeat himself.  Whole paragraphs - for example an account of the American losses at Pearl Harbour - are repeated with only a few changes to wording, and without the addition of some summation or analysis to justify such repetition.  Given the anecdotal nature of much of the book, many of these repeated stories left me feeling I was listening to the stories of a brilliant, delightfully catty, but slightly aged and forgetful uncle.

Get over it, already

Our 24-hour news channels love a good celebrity death.  They probably prefer wars and natural disasters, in many ways, but those are dangerous and expensive to film.  When someone with a decent back-catalogue of showable clips cops it, preferably after lingering at death's door for a couple of days then snuffing it in time for the 6 o'clock bulletins, making television becomes very cheap and very easy.

So it was last week with George Best, who was buried on Saturday.  The UK news channels in particular rolled out dozens of hours of programming, coverage, reports from outside hospitals and inside funerals.  I just don't get it.

Why do they think I would want to watch all this?  Who are the (presumably) hundreds of thousands of people who are tuning in to watch Best's funeral?  Manchester United fans?

As background for any foreigners who, quite understandably, are wondering who this important statesman on religious leader was, George Best was a very good footballer in the late 60's and early 70's.  Very good indeed: not as good as Pele or Maradona, but certainly up there with the best of the best.  He was also a notorious drunkard who squandered his talent by retreating at the height of his career to drink himself stupid and ply his trade at a vast array of 3rd-rate dead-end clubs.

If you're American, imagine that Joe Montana or Dan Marino had decided to chuck it in at 28, devoting themselves to alcohol and occasionally turning out for a string of Japanese and German football clubs.  Dalliances with models, the odd bankruptcy and a string of failed relationships and marriages: you know the deal.  All culminating in a replacement liver, more drink, and a lingering, pneumonic death.

It didn't help that he was Irish and working class.  That meant that his drunken fecklessness was positively glorified by society, who love nothing so much as a good Irish genius gone-to-the-bottle, be they Behan or MacGowan.

But I just don't get why endless hours of newspaper and television coverage were devoted to the man.  He wasn't the Pope, for all that I loathed the "live from the queue outside St Peter's" excuse for television I had to avoid then, too.  He was just a pissed-up footballer who'd lost interest in everything that gave him a purpose. 

He would often - very often - tell a joke, recounting an occasion when, having room service deliver champagne, the waiter, despite the presence on and in Best's bed of 20 grand in cash and the current Miss Universe, asked him "where did it all go wrong?"  Best would laugh at that, but the point is that the waiter - a man who would never enjoy the talent, the money or the women that Best was blessed with - saw which of these had real value.  That Best told this story as frequently and mockingly perhaps showed a desperate knowledge of the truth of the waiter's comment, and a desire to hear everyone laugh at it.

George squandered it all, though others gave him endless chances: his last wife, Sky Sports, the liver donor.  And that's what bites.  Two people, somewhere in Britain, died to give him another chance.  One was the donor.  The other was the person who'd have got that liver had Best not done so.  And Best's gratitude for such a chance extended to drinking himself to death.

From he to whom much has been given, much will be expected.  And Best had so very, very much.  I have no desire to watch endless tributes to a man who, ultimately, failed himself and those around him.

A Weekend with the XBox 360

Being the sort of early adopter who buys Japanese PSPs - because not being able to play Ridge Racer for an extra six weeks was quite unsupportable - I suppose it is unsurprising that I took the day off work on Friday to pick up and play my new XBox 360.  Over the weekend, I've played a lot of Project Gotham 3, too much Tiger Woods 2006 (too much, in this case, amounting to about 20 minutes), and a modicum of feature investigation.

The machine itself is a lovely piece of work, both aesthetically and technically.  As usual with Microsoft (since they opened their usability labs in 94 or so), a lot of work has gone into streamlining what you experience as a player.  Well, not so much player as user, since the capabilities of the console go beyond gaming: it's a pretty good substitute for a media center pc, being able to play content not, just from DVDs, but also from content stored on PCs on the same network.

The machine is noisy.  It's the noisiest piece of kit I've had since I shared an office with two HP 60MHz Pentiums a decade ago.  Those were like idling turbines.  You can hear the fans and disk noise of the 360 over the gameplay at times, but you soon edit it out.  Whether others in the flat below found it so easy to ignore, I am less certain.

The games I had were Project Gotham 3 and Tiger Woods 2006.  I'm really looking forward to some of the upcoming releases, particularly Ghost Recon 3, and the sequel to Morrowind, the latest Elder Scrolls title.  PGR3 was a no-brainer, but I was fairly meh about the second title.  Tiger won because I loved Links.

PGR3 is a cracker.  I'd give it a nine out of ten without hesitation.  The gameplay is great fun, the technology smooth, the usability excellent and the graphics spectacular.  There are a couple of reasons that it's not a 10/10 launch title, though.  Despite the addition of a bunch of fun mini-games, it's not the party game it was: bereft of minis and other slower vehicles, it has become solidly twitchy throughout, and a casual gamer can't compete.

The other reason is that the number of cities has shrunk to five, and have become a touch homogenous.  Don't get me wrong, graphically you have never seen anything on a console like the rendering of these cities.  But only the nightime in Vegas and Tokyo really departs from a fairly similar feel to all the tracks.  In PGR2, you really felt the blazing sunshine of Barcelona, and choosing the rennaissance-era centre of Firenze was an act of genius.  PGR3's tracks are beautiful but oddly samey.

This is despite the fact that my TV is a 42" set, though not High Def.  This really struck me struck me: the games look amazingly sharp even without HDTV (although the booths I've played HD setups in really showed what the advantages of the newer standard are).

Tiger Woods 06 is a different story.  If PGR was a 9/10 experience, then Tiger was a three at best.  There are no tutorials: just challenges which serve to train but have no real instructions.  Some of the controls remain a mystery to me, despite my having played the PSP version.  The graphics are very good, especially around long grass.  Water is rendered very well.  But putting and short play in particular would require hours of practise just to get to the point where a basic competition was possible.  On a 42" screen I couldn't see the hole when putting.  This is something of an issue.  It's certainly more of an issue than it would be on a real golf course, where it would at least give me an excuse.

On balance, I think I'll return Tiger soon, and hold out for the under-development next-gen Links title.

Finally, XBox Live! is now thoroughly awesome.  Matchmaking is quick and easy, and the detail is all there in managing the social side (choose people you would like to play with or avoid, rate people, compete with friends for badges and achievements).  I have no criticism of it whatsoever: ni a matter of minutes, without any technical issues, I had my 360 communicating with Live! through the superb wireless bridge add-on, via my wireless router and cable modem, and my existing account switched over with virtually no input needed.